"Draw is ALWAYS better here"

People see this and, most will say that a draw is always the best shape to play here. Some even go as far as to say "because it will eliminate the water". I get it. It sounds and looks and feels

People see this and, most will say that a draw is always the best shape to play here. Some even go as far as to say "because it will eliminate the water". I get it. It sounds and looks and feels logical. But it's wrong. Let me explain. Imagine a player who almost ALWAYS draws their shots (few double-crosses). They're on the range and they start the ball right (dotted line) and their pattern looks like this. "But Adam, that player is starting the ball 25 yards right" Yup - due to dispersion sizes