Grok Bot backtested 30 years of Nasdaq: Here's the best strategy

Not financial advice. This is my research framework, not a recommendation. Do your own work. TL;DR The 10-month line rule on the Nasdaq-100 since 1995 turned $10k into $726k vs $702k for buy-and-hold,

Not financial advice. This is my research framework, not a recommendation. Do your own work. TL;DR The 10-month line rule on the Nasdaq-100 since 1995 turned $10k into $726k vs $702k for buy-and-hold, with a worst drop of -28% vs -81%. The catch: it's insurance, not alpha. For start dates from 2004 to 2019 it lagged buy-and-hold by 3–6 pts/yr. Since 2003 it won 0% of 10-year windows on return, but had the shallower drawdown in 84% of all 10-year windows. Winners kept winning: holding the top 5 N